Decision Making

Modal Prospection

Drawing together the metaphysics of counterfactuals with empirical work on intuitive judgments, this chapter discusses the nature of counterfactual reasoning about self-involving possibilities. It argues that when a person reasons about her …

People's perception of others' risk preferences

Our everyday decisions are driven by costs, risk, and reward. How do people take these factors into account when they predict and explain the decisions of others? In a two-part experiment, we assessed people’s perceptions of other people’s risk …

Thinking and Guessing: Bayesian and Empirical Models of How Humans Search.

Searching natural environments, as for example, when foraging or looking for a landmark, combines reasoning under uncertainty, planning and visual search. Existing paradigms for studying search in humans focus on step-by-step information sampling, …